The NFL Draft is fast approaching, and it cannot be overstated how much it can define the outlook of an organization. Whereas free agency is for short-term gain, the amount of edges that can be exploited through the draft to maximize a franchise’s long-term well being. Between trading down, attacking valuable positions, and playing the draft board correctly, there are plenty of ways to get … Continue reading The Hidden Gems Of The 2021 NFL Draft
We are less than two weeks away from the start of NFL free agency, which figures to be much more chaotic than years past! First off, no one seems to know exactly what the cap number will be for 2021, but it is likely to be around $180 million, much less than previous seasons. Thus, teams will have to cut ties with veterans they may … Continue reading 2021 NFL Free Agency Value Projections
After playing general manager for each AFC team earlier in the week, it is now time to do the same for the NFC. My thoughts on the offseason and free agency may differ from some, so I’ll repeat what I stated in the AFC version: “Whereas the draft is much more complex and predicated on drafting as many valuable players as you can to keep … Continue reading NFL: Playing “GM” For Every NFC Team Ahead of Free Agency
With the 2020-2021 NFL season now over, it is officially the offseason! To be fair, there really isn’t an offseason in professional sports- activity happens year-round! As we get farther into the offseason, we will get to see how each front office goes about building their rosters. The best part about this? No two general managers are alike! Some will prioritize adding star talent through … Continue reading Stars or Depth? What Is The Best Way To Build an NFL Roster?
When the NFL season got underway on September 13th, there was a lot of skepticism that the season would play out, or that it would feel like a normal season. After all, players didn’t have normal offseason schedules, and having zero/limited fans in attendance was something we all had to get used to. Yet, we have made it! On Sunday, we will witness history on … Continue reading Super Bowl LV Model Projections
Whereas baseball is filled with advanced statistics, other sports, particularly football, have lagged behind. For analysis, the common fan too often turns to unstable, flawed statistics such as yards gained/allowed, turnovers, and touchdowns, and, as a result, NFL players tend to be more polarizing than MLB players- analysts are using different variables to compare players. Luckily for us, Pro Football Focus’ grades and new Wins Above … Continue reading Fine-Tuning Wins Above Replacement To Better Capture an NFL Player’s $/Year Value
Recently, we let the numbers decide who the top running backs in the NFL were. Today, we’ll shift to a much more important skill position. Wide receiver is the most important non-quarterback position in the NFL, according to Pro Football Focus’ Wins Above Replacement (WAR) metric, so if there’s any position that can move the needle, it’s this one. The difference between an elite receiver and an … Continue reading Ranking The Top 130 Wide Receivers From a Mathematical Perspective
Every year, NFL fans are able to pleasantly surprised by players who outperform their expectations. Take running back Phillip Lindsay, for example, who was an undrafted free agent who ended becoming the Broncos’ lead running back. Or veteran tight end Jared Cook, who had a career year last season for the Raiders in his tenth NFL season. Whether they’re at the beginning or the back-end … Continue reading One Player From Each NFL Team Most Likely To Exceed Expectations