Welcome to the next update of the MLB Award Index! Every two weeks, we will be taking a close look at what the index forecasts in terms of MVP and Cy Young voting, looking to find favorable odds on the betting markets, as well as create more accurate projections. For more information on the basis of the index, and how it goes about projecting future … Continue reading MLB Award Index Update: June 24th
Sports are ultimately a team game, and that is incredibly apparent in baseball. As we’ve seen, no one player can single-handedly lead their team to a championship title; after all, Mike Trout has made the playoff just one time in his career! For this reason, most of the attention when it comes to predictions and projections surrounds around the teams. Who will win each division? … Continue reading Introducing The Award Index: A Simple Way To Forecast MLB MVP/Cy Young Voting
When Julio Urias struck out Willy Adames to secure the Dodgers’ their first World Series championship, the baseball world was able to take a collective sigh of relief; they had managed to complete a 60-game season through the midst of a pandemic. However, this was only the beginning of a much different time in baseball, and I’m not simply referring to Justin Turner being pulled … Continue reading 2020-2021 MLB Offseason Review: Which Teams Spent The Most Efficiently?
They say that a run prevented is as important as a run scored, and this checks out. In fact, based on the coefficient of determination (r^2) for the two variables, a run prevented has actually been more correlated with team success than a run scored. This has been labeled as the “run prevention era”, and just by that measure, this would appear to be the … Continue reading MLB Study: Rethinking How We Look At Team Defense
The NFL season is nearing the playoffs and the NBA season is almost under way, but honestly, the MLB is in its best season- the offseason! With so many players, as well as managers and executives, changing organizations, this is a critical time for franchises to progress and improve their teams not just for this season, but in the future as well. Technically, free agency … Continue reading MLB Contract Projections For Top 190 Free Agents
The MLB offseason is a very fun time for the baseball world; with so many rumors and players switching teams, it arguably provides more entertainment than the actual season itself! As free agency starts, content creators will move quickly to publish their “free agency rankings”. However, I do not find this incredibly useful when it comes to analyzing team-building. Unlike the draft, where organizations are … Continue reading Analyzing The Entire 2020 MLB Free Agency Class: Where Is The Value?
As the postseason winds down, it’s time to turn our attention to offseason. However, should it really be considered an “offseason”? Between the end of the postseason and the start of the next season, there is so much action; it’s honestly my favorite time to be a baseball analyst. This free agency will be far different than anything we’ve ever seen, as several teams will … Continue reading 2020 MLB Free Agent Rankings: How Much Should Each Free Agent Be Paid?
As baseball analysts shift towards evaluating players with advanced statistics, calculating a player’s overall value has become essential. To do so, the common fan uses Wins Above Replacement (WAR), a statistic that measures a player’s value compared to a replacement-level player- a 1 WAR player is worth about one win above a replacement-level player, for instance. The convenience of a “tell-it-all” statistic like WAR cannot … Continue reading Meet VOA, a Statistic That Captures an MLB Player’s Value Better Than WAR
A baseball player’s defensive skills are often debated heavily, as old-school minds tend to believe in the “eye test” more, while more analytically-minded fans and analysts lean on advanced metrics. However, even if those sabermetric fans rightfully believe in defensive metrics, there are so many different ones that it’s hard to know which ones to trust. Sometimes, players can rate out completely differently in each … Continue reading Study: What Metrics Best Dictate an MLB Player’s Defensive Ability?
Last week, we looked ahead at who the top ten third basemen would be next season, which is very tough, as there wasn’t enough room for former MVPs or All-Stars. Today, we’ll stick with the left side of the infield by looking at the top ten shortstops. Similarly to third base, this list has plenty of high-end players, and as a result, the players not on … Continue reading 2020 MLB Top Ten: Shortstops