Welcome to the next update of the MLB Award Index! Every two weeks, we will be taking a close look at what the index forecasts in terms of MVP and Cy Young voting, looking to find favorable odds on the betting markets, as well as create more accurate projections. For more information on the basis of the index, and how it goes about projecting future … Continue reading MLB Award Index Update: August
Welcome to the next update of the MLB Award Index! Every two weeks, we will be taking a close look at what the index forecasts in terms of MVP and Cy Young voting, looking to find favorable odds on the betting markets, as well as create more accurate projections. For more information on the basis of the index, and how it goes about projecting future … Continue reading MLB Award Index Update: June 24th
Welcome to the first ever update of the MLB Award Index! Every two weeks, we will be taking a close look at what the index forecasts in terms of MVP and Cy Young voting, looking to find favorable odds on the betting markets, as well as create more accurate projections. For more information on the basis of the index, and how it goes about projecting … Continue reading MLB Award Index Update: June 10th
Sports are ultimately a team game, and that is incredibly apparent in baseball. As we’ve seen, no one player can single-handedly lead their team to a championship title; after all, Mike Trout has made the playoff just one time in his career! For this reason, most of the attention when it comes to predictions and projections surrounds around the teams. Who will win each division? … Continue reading Introducing The Award Index: A Simple Way To Forecast MLB MVP/Cy Young Voting
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They say that a run prevented is as important as a run scored, and this checks out. In fact, based on the coefficient of determination (r^2) for the two variables, a run prevented has actually been more correlated with team success than a run scored. This has been labeled as the “run prevention era”, and just by that measure, this would appear to be the … Continue reading MLB Study: Rethinking How We Look At Team Defense
Prospect evaluation may be the most difficult part of any sport. After all, the best way to judge a player is based on their previous production, but we don’t have that luxury with prospects- we are forced to project how they’ll fare playing at higher levels, which is a burdensome task. As this process has garnered the attention of the public more, however, it is … Continue reading It’s Time To Fix How We Evaluate MLB Prospects
Baseball is back??? If and when the Nationals host the Yankees on Thursday, July 23rd, Major League Baseball will successfully achieve its first goal in starting a shortened season. Obviously, the COVID-19 pandemic may end up ruining the efforts to finish the season, but for as long as we have baseball, I challenge everyone to enjoy it to its fullest. This will be a unique … Continue reading MLB 60-Game Season Predictions: Picking Award Winners + World Series Champion
As baseball analysts shift towards evaluating players with advanced statistics, calculating a player’s overall value has become essential. To do so, the common fan uses Wins Above Replacement (WAR), a statistic that measures a player’s value compared to a replacement-level player- a 1 WAR player is worth about one win above a replacement-level player, for instance. The convenience of a “tell-it-all” statistic like WAR cannot … Continue reading Meet VOA, a Statistic That Captures an MLB Player’s Value Better Than WAR
Once upon a time, prospects were more valued as trade chips by fans of MLB teams than anything else, and young players, in general, weren’t seen as super valuable compared to established players. However, that time is past us- fans now care a great deal about their team’s top prospects, and front offices are more reluctant than ever to trade them. Therefore, public prospect rankings … Continue reading Creating an Ideal Model For Evaluating MLB Prospects
We’ve addressed the value of team offense, defense, and pitching, as well as the value (or lack thereof) of high-end relievers. However, is there a way for us to assess the importance of players at each positions? One of baseball’s most commonly used statistics is Wins Above Replacement (WAR), which assesses the value of players relative to the replacement-level player. Nonetheless, it is unclear if … Continue reading Study: Assessing Positional Value In Baseball
MVP Sports Talk 