Welcome to the next update of my new tool to better project team success: xxWins! Looking at a team’s performance on offense, defense, and pitching, we’ll not only be able to project a team’s win total, but their expected run differential. Run differential is useful, but takes more time to stabilize, so this tool can allow us to create more accurate projections sooner! For more … Continue reading MLB xxWins Projection Update: August
Welcome to the next update of the MLB Award Index! Every two weeks, we will be taking a close look at what the index forecasts in terms of MVP and Cy Young voting, looking to find favorable odds on the betting markets, as well as create more accurate projections. For more information on the basis of the index, and how it goes about projecting future … Continue reading MLB Award Index Update: August
Welcome the next update of my new tool to better project team success: xxWins! Looking at a team’s performance on offense, defense, and pitching, we’ll not only be able to project a team’s win total, but their expected run differential. Run differential is useful, but takes more time to stabilize, so this tool can allow us to create more accurate projections sooner! For more information … Continue reading MLB xxWins Projection Update: All-Star Break
Welcome the next update of my new tool to better project team success: xxWins! Looking at a team’s performance on offense, defense, and pitching, we’ll not only be able to project a team’s win total, but their expected run differential. Run differential is useful, but takes more time to stabilize, so this tool can allow us to create more accurate projections sooner! For more information … Continue reading MLB xxWins Projection Update: June 25th
Welcome to the first ever update of my new tool to better project team success: xxWins! Looking at a team’s performance on offense, defense, and pitching, we’ll not only be able to project a team’s win total, but their expected run differential. Run differential is useful, but takes more time to stabilize, so this tool can allow us to create more accurate projections sooner! For … Continue reading MLB xxWins Projection Update: June 11th
Welcome to the first ever update of the MLB Award Index! Every two weeks, we will be taking a close look at what the index forecasts in terms of MVP and Cy Young voting, looking to find favorable odds on the betting markets, as well as create more accurate projections. For more information on the basis of the index, and how it goes about projecting … Continue reading MLB Award Index Update: June 10th
Recently, I introduced the award index, a tool that will allow us to better project individual success/award winners. However, as mentioned in the piece, baseball is a team game. General managers aren’t trying to make moves to acquire as many award winners as possible. Rather, they’re making various endeavors to do whatever it takes to ultimately compete for a World Series championship, regardless of when … Continue reading Introducing xxWins: A New Way To Forecast MLB Team Success
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“This player is having a good year, but his xwOBA is slightly lower than his wOBA, so he’s going to get worse.” This is a common phrase you’ll hear within the baseball analysis community. To be fair, with the data made available to us, it’s easy to come to conclusions like this. However, it’s not always about the data made available to us, but the … Continue reading MLB Deep Dive: How To Use Expected Stats Properly
It’s great to be back to a normal 162 game season, but something within in baseball that doesn’t get covered enough? The minor leagues are back in full force! This is a major development and relief for the industry as a whole. After all, game experience is still to ultimate way for a player to refine their skills, and not having the 2020 season definitely … Continue reading 2021 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Top 250 Prospects
We are less than two weeks from opening day! This time last year, we were left wondering if a baseball season would happen at all. Now, we are looking at the return of a 162-game season! In theory, this would make projecting the upcoming season much easier than last year, where a shorter schedule leads to more variance. What correlated to winning in 2020 was … Continue reading 2021 MLB American League Projections
MVP Sports Talk 