We are less than two weeks from opening day! This time last year, we were left wondering if a baseball season would happen at all. Now, we are looking at the return of a 162-game season! In theory, this would make projecting the upcoming season much easier than last year, where a shorter schedule leads to more variance. What correlated to winning in 2020 was … Continue reading 2021 MLB American League Projections
They say that a run prevented is as important as a run scored, and this checks out. In fact, based on the coefficient of determination (r^2) for the two variables, a run prevented has actually been more correlated with team success than a run scored. This has been labeled as the “run prevention era”, and just by that measure, this would appear to be the … Continue reading MLB Study: Rethinking How We Look At Team Defense
Raise your hand if you have heard this recently: starting pitchers aren’t pitching as many innings as they once did. If your hand isn’t raised, you’re probably lying. Is is true that starting pitchers aren’t the workhorses they once were. Since 2015, the amount of innings thrown by starting pitchers has constantly decreased, which has led to several complaints from spectators. It is very common … Continue reading Examining MLB Pitcher Usage and The Value of Starting Pitchers
Building an MLB roster is anything but simple, to say the least. It would be very convenient if it was as easy as playing MLB The Show, but as we are well aware of, there are many complexities to roster construction. Not only do organizations need to have high-end talent, but they also need to have 26 quality big-leaguers, as well other players in the … Continue reading Stars or Depth? What is The Best Way To Build an MLB Roster?
In terms of strategy, no game has shifted more in the past decade than baseball. We’re well aware of the increase in strikeouts, pitchers not pitching a third time through the order, and other various ways the game has changed. However, in my opinion, there has been one change that hasn’t garnered enough attention: slowly but surely, baseball is becoming a position-less sport. Simply being … Continue reading MLB Deep Dive: Analyzing The Value of Defensive Versatility
In baseball, prospects are generally seen as a crapshoot, and it is easy to see why. According to Scott McKinney of Royals Review, of Baseball America’s top 100 prospects from 1996-2003, nearly 70% of them posted Wins Above Replacements (WAR) on average of 1.50 or less. Considering that these are supposed to be the premier young players in the sports, such a high rate is … Continue reading Analyzing The Stability of Amateur Baseball Players’ Statistics
Free agency is an exciting time for MLB fans. With so many well-known players on the move, it is understandable that they want their team to do whatever it takes to sign them; the perception of free agents are generally boosted incredibly based on all the rumors and buzz surrounding them. Thus, general managers are praised when they are aggressive when it comes to signing … Continue reading MLB Team Building: Why Relying on Free Agency Can Be Fatal
Recently, we took a look at trends from the first eight weeks of the NFL season, and compared it to what generally correlates to success in a normal season. Well, why not do the same for baseball? After all, similar to our NFL study, we’re dealing with a small sample in a 60-game season, and with all the ramifications from the atypical nature of a … Continue reading 2020 MLB 60-Game Season Review: Analyzing Trends/Lucky Teams
The MLB offseason is a very fun time for the baseball world; with so many rumors and players switching teams, it arguably provides more entertainment than the actual season itself! As free agency starts, content creators will move quickly to publish their “free agency rankings”. However, I do not find this incredibly useful when it comes to analyzing team-building. Unlike the draft, where organizations are … Continue reading Analyzing The Entire 2020 MLB Free Agency Class: Where Is The Value?
After we were treated to a fantastic World Series between the Rays and Dodgers, it is time for us to look ahead to the offseason! This is a tricky time to be a baseball analyst, as due to the loss of revenue due to the COVID-19 pandemics, teams appear to be intent on cutting payroll. That won’t stop us from still enjoying what really is … Continue reading “Playing GM” For Every MLB Team Ahead of 2020 Offseason: National League Edition