Welcome to the next update of the MLB Award Index! Every two weeks, we will be taking a close look at what the index forecasts in terms of MVP and Cy Young voting, looking to find favorable odds on the betting markets, as well as create more accurate projections. For more information on the basis of the index, and how it goes about projecting future … Continue reading MLB Award Index Update: June 24th
Welcome to the first ever update of the MLB Award Index! Every two weeks, we will be taking a close look at what the index forecasts in terms of MVP and Cy Young voting, looking to find favorable odds on the betting markets, as well as create more accurate projections. For more information on the basis of the index, and how it goes about projecting … Continue reading MLB Award Index Update: June 10th
Sports are ultimately a team game, and that is incredibly apparent in baseball. As we’ve seen, no one player can single-handedly lead their team to a championship title; after all, Mike Trout has made the playoff just one time in his career! For this reason, most of the attention when it comes to predictions and projections surrounds around the teams. Who will win each division? … Continue reading Introducing The Award Index: A Simple Way To Forecast MLB MVP/Cy Young Voting
We are less than two weeks away from opening day! This time last year, we were left wondering if a baseball season would happen at all. Now, we are looking at the return of a 162-game season! In theory, this would make projecting the upcoming season much easier than last year, where a shorter schedule leads to more variance. What correlated to winning in 2020 … Continue reading 2021 MLB National League Projections
Free agency is an exciting time for MLB fans. With so many well-known players on the move, it is understandable that they want their team to do whatever it takes to sign them; the perception of free agents are generally boosted incredibly based on all the rumors and buzz surrounding them. Thus, general managers are praised when they are aggressive when it comes to signing … Continue reading MLB Team Building: Why Relying on Free Agency Can Be Fatal
We are in the midst of an unprecedented MLB season, but that doesn’t mean that the top players/staff members shouldn’t be recognized with awards! Today, I will be using a model I constructed to take a look at each of the major awards and assigning a deserved winner! This model will lead to different results than standard award races. For starters, it goes based off … Continue reading Who Should Win Each 2020 MLB Award?
The word “dynasty” gets tossed around in sports, but what does it really mean? The official definition for a dynasty in sports is a team or individual that dominates their sport or league for an extended period of time. Yet, what does it mean to dominate? What classifies as “an extended period of time”? There is so much subjectivity when it comes to deciding whether … Continue reading With Mookie Betts Extended, Dodgers Have a Chance To Rewrite The Record Books
As baseball analysts shift towards evaluating players with advanced statistics, calculating a player’s overall value has become essential. To do so, the common fan uses Wins Above Replacement (WAR), a statistic that measures a player’s value compared to a replacement-level player- a 1 WAR player is worth about one win above a replacement-level player, for instance. The convenience of a “tell-it-all” statistic like WAR cannot … Continue reading Meet VOA, a Statistic That Captures an MLB Player’s Value Better Than WAR
Recently, we’ve concluded what the most reliable metrics are for evaluating defense and pitching. However, today’s study is a critical one with regards to what moves the needle in the modern MLB. Here, at mvpsportstalk.com, we’ve already found that hitting is about five times more predictive of winning than defense, and is still more important than pitching. Therefore, teams need to be able to build … Continue reading Study: What Are The Best Metrics For Evaluating Hitters?
We’ve addressed the value of team offense, defense, and pitching, as well as the value (or lack thereof) of high-end relievers. However, is there a way for us to assess the importance of players at each positions? One of baseball’s most commonly used statistics is Wins Above Replacement (WAR), which assesses the value of players relative to the replacement-level player. Nonetheless, it is unclear if … Continue reading Study: Assessing Positional Value In Baseball