We are less than two weeks away from opening day! This time last year, we were left wondering if a baseball season would happen at all. Now, we are looking at the return of a 162-game season! In theory, this would make projecting the upcoming season much easier than last year, where a shorter schedule leads to more variance. What correlated to winning in 2020 … Continue reading 2021 MLB National League Projections
When Julio Urias struck out Willy Adames to secure the Dodgers’ their first World Series championship, the baseball world was able to take a collective sigh of relief; they had managed to complete a 60-game season through the midst of a pandemic. However, this was only the beginning of a much different time in baseball, and I’m not simply referring to Justin Turner being pulled … Continue reading 2020-2021 MLB Offseason Review: Which Teams Spent The Most Efficiently?
They say that a run prevented is as important as a run scored, and this checks out. In fact, based on the coefficient of determination (r^2) for the two variables, a run prevented has actually been more correlated with team success than a run scored. This has been labeled as the “run prevention era”, and just by that measure, this would appear to be the … Continue reading MLB Study: Rethinking How We Look At Team Defense
Raise your hand if you have heard this recently: starting pitchers aren’t pitching as many innings as they once did. If your hand isn’t raised, you’re probably lying. Is is true that starting pitchers aren’t the workhorses they once were. Since 2015, the amount of innings thrown by starting pitchers has constantly decreased, which has led to several complaints from spectators. It is very common … Continue reading Examining MLB Pitcher Usage and The Value of Starting Pitchers
The following mock draft is courtesy of prospect writer Mason McRae. With the college season nearly a month away, scouts have finished putting together their preference lists. For the next month, they will likely be focusing on the JUCO (junior college) side, as they’ve already had exhibition games against other teams, and with the season for them starting in less than two weeks, it’s the … Continue reading 2021 MLB Mock Draft 3.0
The MLB offseason is filled with a lot of player movement, but something that always tends to fly under the radar is the hiring of new coaches. There is a reason why manager hires aren’t extremely exciting; the perception is that they aren’t important in today’s MLB. With front offices more involved in-game decision making, as well as baseball being more of a “three true … Continue reading MLB Team Building: What Should Teams Be Looking For When Hiring a Manager?
Recently, we took a look at trends from the first eight weeks of the NFL season, and compared it to what generally correlates to success in a normal season. Well, why not do the same for baseball? After all, similar to our NFL study, we’re dealing with a small sample in a 60-game season, and with all the ramifications from the atypical nature of a … Continue reading 2020 MLB 60-Game Season Review: Analyzing Trends/Lucky Teams
After we were treated to a fantastic World Series between the Rays and Dodgers, it is time for us to look ahead to the offseason! This is a tricky time to be a baseball analyst, as due to the loss of revenue due to the COVID-19 pandemics, teams appear to be intent on cutting payroll. That won’t stop us from still enjoying what really is … Continue reading “Playing GM” For Every MLB Team Ahead of 2020 Offseason: National League Edition
We are in the midst of an unprecedented MLB season, but that doesn’t mean that the top players/staff members shouldn’t be recognized with awards! Today, I will be using a model I constructed to take a look at each of the major awards and assigning a deserved winner! This model will lead to different results than standard award races. For starters, it goes based off … Continue reading Who Should Win Each 2020 MLB Award?
Last week, I highlighted ten key principles (https://mvpsportstalk.com/2020/09/19/its-time-to-fix-how-we-evaluate-mlb-prospects/) of modern-day prospect evaluation. Unfortunately, those principles were created based on glaring misconceptions with the practice, and that has led to several prospects being undervalued. Luckily for those prospects, I’ve built an objective model that isn’t swayed by certain biases. Rather, it analyzes scouting grades, and based on a weighting system that relies on stable aspects of … Continue reading Top 50 Undervalued MLB Prospects