Prospect evaluation may be the most difficult part of any sport. After all, the best way to judge a player is based on their previous production, but we don’t have that luxury with prospects- we are forced to project how they’ll fare playing at higher levels, which is a burdensome task. As this process has garnered the attention of the public more, however, it is … Continue reading It’s Time To Fix How We Evaluate MLB Prospects
As baseball analysts shift towards evaluating players with advanced statistics, calculating a player’s overall value has become essential. To do so, the common fan uses Wins Above Replacement (WAR), a statistic that measures a player’s value compared to a replacement-level player- a 1 WAR player is worth about one win above a replacement-level player, for instance. The convenience of a “tell-it-all” statistic like WAR cannot … Continue reading Meet VOA, a Statistic That Captures an MLB Player’s Value Better Than WAR
When scouting pitching prospects, evaluators are tasked with giving a pitcher a grade on the 20-80 scale for each of their pitches. At the beginning, it was standard to only judge a pitcher on their velocity when looking at their pure “stuff”, but now, that appears to be changing. With more teams focusing on different aspects of pitch data, it’s clear that there is much … Continue reading Study: Looking at The Optimal Arsenal for a Pitcher- Which Pitchers Can Improve Their Pitch Usage?
Once upon a time, prospects were more valued as trade chips by fans of MLB teams than anything else, and young players, in general, weren’t seen as super valuable compared to established players. However, that time is past us- fans now care a great deal about their team’s top prospects, and front offices are more reluctant than ever to trade them. Therefore, public prospect rankings … Continue reading Creating an Ideal Model For Evaluating MLB Prospects
Between velocity, command, movement, and stamina, there are so many different skills that a pitcher needs to have, so it’s important to be able to quantity them. However, that doesn’t mean that all of those abilities are created equal. We’ve already discussed how much more valuable a pitcher’s “stuff” is over their command, but today, we’ll take it a step further- we’ll conclude which metrics … Continue reading Study: What Are The Best Metrics For Evaluating a Pitcher?
Yesterday, we took a closer look at positional value in baseball, and how front offices can use it to gain a competitive edge over other teams. However, there is an even greater flaw that front offices can capitalize on, and it’s with evaluating prospects. Currently, we aren’t modifying our prospect boards enough to account for positional value, but that has to change. In this article, … Continue reading Altering The Process Of Evaluating MLB Prospects
We’ve addressed the value of team offense, defense, and pitching, as well as the value (or lack thereof) of high-end relievers. However, is there a way for us to assess the importance of players at each positions? One of baseball’s most commonly used statistics is Wins Above Replacement (WAR), which assesses the value of players relative to the replacement-level player. Nonetheless, it is unclear if … Continue reading Study: Assessing Positional Value In Baseball
Since it’s a sport with a 162-game season, and in which superstars can’t impact a game, it can be argued that building a winning team in baseball is significantly harder than other sports, such as football and basketball. However, front offices are expected to build a winning team over time, and having an optimal strategy can really benefit them. At the moment, there doesn’t appear … Continue reading Study: Offense vs Defense vs Pitching, What Is The Best Way For MLB Teams To Build a Contender?
Between Mariano Rivera and Trevor Hoffman, there have been plenty of excellent relievers who have anchored a bullpen, and thus are now enshrined in Cooperstown. Conventional wisdom has always placed a high emphasis on having a dominant closing pitcher who can finish off a game, and that remains the case in today’s game. Sure, teams have moved off of valuing the best relievers as closing … Continue reading Study: Why High-End Relievers Aren’t Valuable In Today’s MLB
We’ve officially gone through the top-ten position players at each position, so now, it’s time to look at who’ll they be facing off against; today, we’re going to analyze the game’s top-ten starting pitchers. Obviously, since there are roughly 1,500 pitchers who will occupy rotation spots, this is a very tough list to put together- only the elite pitchers were able to secure a spot … Continue reading 2020 MLB Top Ten: Starting Pitchers