Welcome to the first ever update of my new tool to better project team success: xxWins! Looking at a team’s performance on offense, defense, and pitching, we’ll not only be able to project a team’s win total, but their expected run differential. Run differential is useful, but takes more time to stabilize, so this tool can allow us to create more accurate projections sooner! For … Continue reading MLB xxWins Projection Update: June 11th
Recently, I introduced the award index, a tool that will allow us to better project individual success/award winners. However, as mentioned in the piece, baseball is a team game. General managers aren’t trying to make moves to acquire as many award winners as possible. Rather, they’re making various endeavors to do whatever it takes to ultimately compete for a World Series championship, regardless of when … Continue reading Introducing xxWins: A New Way To Forecast MLB Team Success
It’s great to be back to a normal 162 game season, but something within in baseball that doesn’t get covered enough? The minor leagues are back in full force! This is a major development and relief for the industry as a whole. After all, game experience is still to ultimate way for a player to refine their skills, and not having the 2020 season definitely … Continue reading 2021 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Top 250 Prospects
We are less than two weeks from opening day! This time last year, we were left wondering if a baseball season would happen at all. Now, we are looking at the return of a 162-game season! In theory, this would make projecting the upcoming season much easier than last year, where a shorter schedule leads to more variance. What correlated to winning in 2020 was … Continue reading 2021 MLB American League Projections
When Julio Urias struck out Willy Adames to secure the Dodgers’ their first World Series championship, the baseball world was able to take a collective sigh of relief; they had managed to complete a 60-game season through the midst of a pandemic. However, this was only the beginning of a much different time in baseball, and I’m not simply referring to Justin Turner being pulled … Continue reading 2020-2021 MLB Offseason Review: Which Teams Spent The Most Efficiently?
They say that a run prevented is as important as a run scored, and this checks out. In fact, based on the coefficient of determination (r^2) for the two variables, a run prevented has actually been more correlated with team success than a run scored. This has been labeled as the “run prevention era”, and just by that measure, this would appear to be the … Continue reading MLB Study: Rethinking How We Look At Team Defense
Raise your hand if you have heard this recently: starting pitchers aren’t pitching as many innings as they once did. If your hand isn’t raised, you’re probably lying. Is is true that starting pitchers aren’t the workhorses they once were. Since 2015, the amount of innings thrown by starting pitchers has constantly decreased, which has led to several complaints from spectators. It is very common … Continue reading Examining MLB Pitcher Usage and The Value of Starting Pitchers
Building an MLB roster is anything but simple, to say the least. It would be very convenient if it was as easy as playing MLB The Show, but as we are well aware of, there are many complexities to roster construction. Not only do organizations need to have high-end talent, but they also need to have 26 quality big-leaguers, as well other players in the … Continue reading Stars or Depth? What is The Best Way To Build an MLB Roster?
The following mock draft is courtesy of prospect writer Mason McRae. With the college season nearly a month away, scouts have finished putting together their preference lists. For the next month, they will likely be focusing on the JUCO (junior college) side, as they’ve already had exhibition games against other teams, and with the season for them starting in less than two weeks, it’s the … Continue reading 2021 MLB Mock Draft 3.0
The MLB offseason is filled with a lot of player movement, but something that always tends to fly under the radar is the hiring of new coaches. There is a reason why manager hires aren’t extremely exciting; the perception is that they aren’t important in today’s MLB. With front offices more involved in-game decision making, as well as baseball being more of a “three true … Continue reading MLB Team Building: What Should Teams Be Looking For When Hiring a Manager?