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MLB Deep Dive: How To Use Expected Stats Properly

“This player is having a good year, but his xwOBA is slightly lower than his wOBA, so he’s going to get worse.” This is a common phrase you’ll hear within the baseball analysis community. To be fair, with the data made available to us, it’s easy to come to conclusions like this. However, it’s not always about the data made available to us, but the … Continue reading MLB Deep Dive: How To Use Expected Stats Properly

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Changing The Way We Evaluate NFL QB Prospects

There is no more exciting time in the NFL, in my opinion, than the NFL Draft. Studies have shown that successful rosters are built through the draft, and it makes sense; the top players tend to be kept by their respective teams, and thus don’t often reach free agency. The surplus value of getting a cost-controlled player for four years, in addition to a fifth-year … Continue reading Changing The Way We Evaluate NFL QB Prospects

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MLB Study: Rethinking How We Look At Team Defense

They say that a run prevented is as important as a run scored, and this checks out. In fact, based on the coefficient of determination (r^2) for the two variables, a run prevented has actually been more correlated with team success than a run scored. This has been labeled as the “run prevention era”, and just by that measure, this would appear to be the … Continue reading MLB Study: Rethinking How We Look At Team Defense

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NFL Deep Dive: How Important Is Mobility At The Quarterback Position?

Once upon a time, quarterbacks were expected to be statues in the pocket. As the team’s signal-caller, your job was to simply pass the ball and execute a game plan. If you weren’t a pocket passer, there probably was a lot of momentum for you to move to a different position. This was a much simpler time of football analysis, but now, the game has … Continue reading NFL Deep Dive: How Important Is Mobility At The Quarterback Position?

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Analyzing The Stability of Amateur Baseball Players’ Statistics

In baseball, prospects are generally seen as a crapshoot, and it is easy to see why. According to Scott McKinney of Royals Review, of Baseball America’s top 100 prospects from 1996-2003, nearly 70% of them posted Wins Above Replacements (WAR) on average of 1.50 or less. Considering that these are supposed to be the premier young players in the sports, such a high rate is … Continue reading Analyzing The Stability of Amateur Baseball Players’ Statistics

Fantasy Football 2021 Auction Values

Today is August 4th, which means one thing: we are one day away from the first preseason game of the year! Football is on the horizon, boys and girls! Thus far, we have looked at the top-40 quarterbacks, top-100 running backs, top-175 wide receivers, and top-50 tight ends for the upcoming fantasy football season. Taking that all into account, we have been able to formulate … Continue reading Fantasy Football 2021 Auction Values

MLB xxWins Projection Update: August

Welcome to the next update of my new tool to better project team success: xxWins! Looking at a team’s performance on offense, defense, and pitching, we’ll not only be able to project a team’s win total, but their expected run differential. Run differential is useful, but takes more time to stabilize, so this tool can allow us to create more accurate projections sooner! For more … Continue reading MLB xxWins Projection Update: August

MLB Award Index Update: August

Welcome to the next update of the MLB Award Index! Every two weeks, we will be taking a close look at what the index forecasts in terms of MVP and Cy Young voting, looking to find favorable odds on the betting markets, as well as create more accurate projections. For more information on the basis of the index, and how it goes about projecting future … Continue reading MLB Award Index Update: August

MLB xxWins Projection Update: All-Star Break

Welcome the next update of my new tool to better project team success: xxWins! Looking at a team’s performance on offense, defense, and pitching, we’ll not only be able to project a team’s win total, but their expected run differential. Run differential is useful, but takes more time to stabilize, so this tool can allow us to create more accurate projections sooner! For more information … Continue reading MLB xxWins Projection Update: All-Star Break

MLB Award Index Update: All-Star Break

Welcome to the next update of the MLB Award Index! Every two weeks, we will be taking a close look at what the index forecasts in terms of MVP and Cy Young voting, looking to find favorable odds on the betting markets, as well as create more accurate projections. For more information on the basis of the index, and how it goes about projecting future … Continue reading MLB Award Index Update: All-Star Break

Fantasy Football 2021 Dynasty Top-400 Rankings

To the average person, asking someone if they play fantasy football may be expected to induce a binary “yes or no” answer. However, for hardcore enthusiasts, this is not the case. Do you play PPR, half-PPR, or with multiple quarterbacks? Auction drafts, snake drafts, or linear drafts? What other scoring and roster setting quirks does your league have? There are so many intricacies when it … Continue reading Fantasy Football 2021 Dynasty Top-400 Rankings

Fantasy Football 2021 PPR/SuperFlex Top 300 Rankings

Over the past few weeks, we’ve taken a look at the top quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends for the upcoming season. Today, we’ll wrap up our ranking series with the cream of the crop- the overall draft board! There are plenty of different strategies when it comes to when you can draft each position group, and a lot of them have validity. … Continue reading Fantasy Football 2021 PPR/SuperFlex Top 300 Rankings

Fantasy Football 2021 Tight End Rankings + Projections

We’ve already looked at my top-40 quarterbacks for the upcoming fantasy football season, in addition to my top-100 running backs and top-150 wide receivers. Today, we’ll wrap up the rankings by sticking with pass catchers: tight ends! The tight end position, unlike the wide receiver position, hasn’t been as replenished with consistent talent, making it a very difficult position to analyze. There are some elite … Continue reading Fantasy Football 2021 Tight End Rankings + Projections

MLB xxWins Projection Update: June 25th

Welcome the next update of my new tool to better project team success: xxWins! Looking at a team’s performance on offense, defense, and pitching, we’ll not only be able to project a team’s win total, but their expected run differential. Run differential is useful, but takes more time to stabilize, so this tool can allow us to create more accurate projections sooner! For more information … Continue reading MLB xxWins Projection Update: June 25th